How Bangladesh control of international pressure after 5th of August 2024 revolution?

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After a significant revolution, like the hypothetical one in Bangladesh on August 5, 2024, the country might face considerable international pressure from various governments, organizations, and institutions. Controlling and managing this pressure requires a strategic approach, drawing lessons from history and employing diplomatic, economic, and legal tools. Here’s how Bangladesh could do so, along with examples and references:

1. Diplomatic Engagement and Alliances

  • Bilateral and Multilateral Diplomacy: Proactively engage in diplomacy with key global powers and regional neighbors. This could involve reassuring them of the revolution’s legitimacy and the new government’s commitment to stability and international norms.
  • Building Alliances: Forge alliances with countries that support or are sympathetic to the revolution’s cause. This can help create a bloc of supportive nations to counterbalance negative pressure.
  • Example: After the Cuban Revolution in 1959, Fidel Castro’s government strengthened ties with the Soviet Union to counteract U.S. pressure and economic sanctions. This alliance provided Cuba with economic and military support that helped it resist international pressure.

Book Reference: “Revolutionary Movements in World History: From 1750 to the Present” by James DeFronzo – This book provides insights into how revolutionary governments have navigated international pressures.

2. Economic Diplomacy and Diversification

  • Diversify Economic Partners: Reduce dependence on any single country or economic bloc by diversifying trade partners. This can mitigate the impact of sanctions or trade restrictions from any one country or group of countries.
  • Example: After the Iranian Revolution in 1979, Iran diversified its economic relations, establishing stronger ties with non-Western countries to counterbalance Western sanctions.

Case Reference: Iran’s strategy of “looking East” to China, Russia, and other Asian countries is documented in “Iran Rising: The Survival and Future of the Islamic Republic” by Amin Saikal.

3. Strategic Use of International Organizations

  • United Nations and Regional Organizations: Bangladesh can appeal to international organizations like the United Nations, the Non-Aligned Movement, and the Organization of Islamic Cooperation to gain diplomatic support and legitimacy. These platforms can be used to counter negative narratives and garner international recognition.
  • Example: Venezuela, under Hugo Chávez, used the United Nations and the Non-Aligned Movement to push back against U.S. pressure and to build a coalition of supportive countries.

Book Reference: “The Third World in the Age of Globalization” by Ash Narain Roy explores how developing countries have used international organizations to navigate global pressures.

4. Legal Recourse and International Law

  • International Law: Use international legal frameworks to challenge sanctions, trade restrictions, or interventions imposed by other countries. This includes appealing to bodies like the International Court of Justice (ICJ) or the World Trade Organization (WTO).
  • Example: Nicaragua successfully used the International Court of Justice to challenge U.S. support for the Contras during the Nicaraguan Civil War in the 1980s.

Case Reference: The “Nicaragua v. United States” case (1984), where the ICJ ruled in favor of Nicaragua, demonstrating how small countries can use international law to counteract powerful adversaries.

5. Public Diplomacy and Media Strategy

  • Global Public Opinion: Bangladesh could launch a global public diplomacy campaign to shape international opinion, using media, cultural diplomacy, and public statements to present the revolution’s aims and values in a positive light.
  • Example: The Vietnamese government during the Vietnam War effectively used international media and public diplomacy to win global sympathy, which helped pressure the U.S. to withdraw.

Book Reference: “The Media and the Vietnam War” by William M. Hammond discusses how Vietnam used media to influence international public opinion.

6. Managing Internal Stability to Mitigate External Pressure

  • Domestic Stability: Maintaining internal stability through effective governance, economic management, and social policies can reduce the impact of international pressure. A stable country is less vulnerable to external manipulation.
  • Example: After the Russian Revolution, the Bolshevik government focused on consolidating power internally through policies like War Communism and later the New Economic Policy (NEP), which helped stabilize the country despite international isolation.

Book Reference: “The Russian Revolution” by Richard Pipes provides a detailed account of how the Bolsheviks managed internal challenges to withstand international pressures.

7. Non-Aligned Movement and South-South Cooperation

  • Leveraging South-South Cooperation: Bangladesh can align itself with other developing countries in similar situations, using platforms like the Non-Aligned Movement to resist pressure from more powerful nations.
  • Example: India, during the Cold War, effectively used the Non-Aligned Movement to maintain its independence in foreign policy, despite pressures from both the U.S. and the Soviet Union.

Book Reference: “The Non-Aligned Movement: Genesis, Organization, and Politics (1927-1992)” by Jürgen Dinkel covers how countries have used non-alignment to manage international pressures.

Summary

To control international pressure after a revolution, Bangladesh would need a multifaceted strategy that includes diplomatic engagement, economic diversification, legal challenges, public diplomacy, and maintaining internal stability. Drawing on examples from other revolutionary contexts, the country can employ a combination of proactive diplomacy, strategic alliances, and legal recourse to navigate the complex global landscape and protect its sovereignty and the gains of the revolution.

Monirul islam shamim,
Policy analyst, legal researcher, lawyer

CEO of ‘Bangladesh Policy Research Institute’,

London, 02-09-2024

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